The stage is set for the finale of the 2024 FIM World Supercross Championship, as the world’s top riders prepare to battle under the lights of the Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi this coming Wednsday.

After a hard-fought season, including the historic double-header in Perth, there are several championship scenarios that could still play out.

Fresh off a dominant performance in Perth where he claimed seven out of eight possible race wins, Eli Tomac (CDR Yamaha Supported by Star Racing) heads to Abu Dhabi with a commanding 46-point lead in the WSX Class. However, two-time defending champion Ken Roczen (Pipes Motorsports Group) is not mathematically eliminated yet, setting up what could be one of the most dramatic comebacks in supercross history.

For Roczen to pull off the seemingly impossible and secure his third consecutive WSX title, he would need to win every race in Abu Dhabi (GP Race 1, GP Race 2, GP Race 3, and SuperFinal); Tomac to finish outside the top 10 in several races; and make up an average of 11.5 points per race.

Adding another layer of intrigue to the finale, Joey Savatgy (Fire Power Honda) — the only rider to beat Tomac in a race at Perth — is just six points behind Roczen. With a total of 105 points available in Abu Dhabi, the battle for second in the championship could yet be the night’s most intense storyline.

“The mathematics might be in my favour, but this is supercross — anything can happen," said championship leader Tomac. “Abu Dhabi presents a completely new challenge for everyone, and we’ll be pushing until the final chequered flag.”

The SX2 250cc class has its own compelling narrative as Shane McElrath (Fire Power Honda) looks to convert his 57-point advantage into a championship victory. However, the emerging rivalry between Coty Schock and Enzo Lopes, separated by just two points in their battle for second place, could deliver one of the highlights of the night in Abu Dhabi.

For either Schock or Lopes to have any chance of unseating McElrath, they would need to win every race while hoping for multiple DNFs from McElrath; outperform each other consistently, as neither can afford to lose points to their rival; and overcome McElrath’s near-perfect form that earned him six wins in Perth.